Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000054 0.000057 0.000059 0.000063 0.000066 0.000069
2025-04-13 0.000046 0.000049 0.000053 0.000057 0.000062 0.000067 0.000073
2025-04-20 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000067 0.000075
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000043 0.000048 0.000054 0.000060 0.000068 0.000077
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000043 0.000048 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000083
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000079 0.000098
2025-06-01 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000102
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000067 0.000083 0.000107
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000082 0.000108
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000081 0.000108
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000079 0.000107
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000032 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000106
2025-07-20 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000059 0.000078 0.000107
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000061 0.000081 0.000114
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000062 0.000084 0.000120
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000049 0.000065 0.000090 0.000132
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000089 0.000132
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000062 0.000087 0.000131
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000089 0.000136
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000064 0.000092 0.000144